Intelligence analysts face complex and dynamic problems. Analysts form judgements and make decisions based on limited available information, while dealing with inherent uncertainty, knowing that the assessments they make provide the basis for significant decisions and actions.
This book provides a grounding in critical thinking and decision-making relevant to intelligence analysis, offering insights and techniques to help analysts make well-reasoned, supported judgements. Drawing on research from a broad range of related fields, the book addresses both theory and practice, encouraging analysts to reflect on their thought processes, remain open to alternative interpretations, and be able to justify their analytical judgements.
The insights and techniques detailed in this book are not limited to the world of intelligence but are broadly applicable, making it a useful reference for anyone involved in decision making and analysis.